[Disclaimer: This was written the day after the event, and I took no notes. If I have misrepresented the opinions of any of the panel members then it is a result of my poor attention during, and poor memory following, the debate. My apologies to those involved if this is the case.]
For those that weren't aware, UCL hosted a talk and debate last night entitled “Is Science Broken? If so, how can we fix it?” Chris Chambers (@chriscd77) gave a talk about the recent introduction of Registered Reports in the journal Cortex. This was followed by a broader panel discussion on the problems facing science (and psychology in particular) and how initiatives, such as pre-registration, might be able to improve things. Alongside Chris, Dorothy Bishop (@deevybee), Sam Schwarzkopf (@sampendu), Neuroskeptic (@Neuro_Skeptic) and Sophie Scott (@sophiescott) took part in the debate, and David Shanks chaired.
For those that weren't aware, UCL hosted a talk and debate last night entitled “Is Science Broken? If so, how can we fix it?” Chris Chambers (@chriscd77) gave a talk about the recent introduction of Registered Reports in the journal Cortex. This was followed by a broader panel discussion on the problems facing science (and psychology in particular) and how initiatives, such as pre-registration, might be able to improve things. Alongside Chris, Dorothy Bishop (@deevybee), Sam Schwarzkopf (@sampendu), Neuroskeptic (@Neuro_Skeptic) and Sophie Scott (@sophiescott) took part in the debate, and David Shanks chaired.
First, I found
Chris’ talk very informative and measured. Words such as “evangelist” are often
bandied about on social media. Personally, I found him to be passionate about
pre-registration but very realistic and honest about how pre-registration fits
into the broader movement of “improving science”. He spend at least half of his
talk answering questions that he has received following similar presentations
over the last few months. I would guess about 90% of these questions were
essentially logistical – “will I be able to submit elsewhere once I've
collected the results?”, “couldn't a reviewer scoop my idea and publish whilst
I’m data collecting?” It is obviously incumbent upon Chris, given he has
introduced a new journal format, to answer these legitimate logistical
questions clearly. I think he did a great job in this regard. I can’t help feeling
some of these questions come from individuals who are actually ideologically
opposed to the idea, trying to bring about death by a thousand cuts. Often
these questions implicitly compare pre-registration to an “ideal” scenario,
rather than to the current status quo. As a result, I feel Chris has to point
out that their concern applies equally to the current publishing model. I may
just be misreading, but if people are ideologically opposed to pre-registration
I’d rather they just come out and say it instead of raising a million and one
small logistical concerns.
On to the
debate. This worked really well. It is rare to get five well-informed
individuals on the same stage talking openly about science. There was a lot of
common ground. First, everyone agreed there should be more sharing of data
between labs (though the specifics of this weren't discussed in detail, so
there may have been disagreement on how to go about doing this). Dorothy also
raised legitimate ethical concerns about how to anonymise patient data to allow
for data sharing. There was also common ground in relation to replication,
though Chris and Neuroskeptic both cautioned against only replicating
within-lab, and pushed for more between-lab replication efforts, relative to
Sophie.
Where I think
there was disagreement was in relation to the structures that we put in place
to encourage good practice (or discourage bad practice). On several occasions
Chris asked how we were going to ensure scientists do what they should be doing
(replicating, data sharing, not p-hacking etc.). Essentially it boils down to
how much scope we give individual scientists to do what they want to do.
Pre-registration binds scientists (once the initial review process has been
accepted) to perform an experiment in a very specific way and to perform specific
statistics on the data collected. This should (though we need data, as pointed
out by both Chris and Sam) decrease the prevalence of certain issues, such as
p-hacking or the file drawer problem. You can’t get away from the fact that it
is a way of controlling scientists though. I think some people find that
uncomfortable, and to a certain extent I can understand why. However, what is key to pre-registration is that
it is the scientists themselves who are binding their own hands. It is masochistic
rather than sadistic. Chris isn't telling any individual scientist how to run
their experiment, he is simply asking scientists to clearly state what they are
going to do before they do it. Given the huge multivariate datasets we collect
in cognitive neuroscience, giving individuals a little less wiggle room is
probably a good thing.
Sophie pointed
out at the beginning of the debate that science isn't measured in individual
papers. In one hundred years no-one will remember what we did, let alone that
specific paper we published in Nature or Neuron (or Cortex). This is a reasonable
point, but I couldn't quite see how it undermined the introduction of formats
such as pre-registration. I don’t think anyone would claim a pre-registered
paper is “truth”. The success (or failure) of pre-registration will be measured
across hundreds of papers. The “unit” of science doesn't change as a result of
pre-registration.
Where I found
common ground with Sophie was in her emphasis on individual people rather than
structures (e.g., specific journal formats). Certainly, we need to get the
correct structures in place to ensure we are producing reliable replicable
results. However, whilst discussing these structural changes we should never
lose sight of the fact that science progresses because of the amazingly
talented, enthusiastic, nerdy, focussed, well-intentioned, honest, funny, weird,
clever people who design the experiments, collect the data, run the statistics
and write the papers. The debate wonderfully underlined this point. We had
five individuals (and a great audience) all arguing passionately about science. It is that raw
enthusiasm that gives me hope about the future of science more than any change
in journal format.